UnjuicedOpen Hit Rate Matrix. Compare historical results across alternate thresholds without confusing them with current win probabilities.
Read the two dimensions
Choose the supported sport and stat. Find the player and inspect the thresholds across the matrix. Each cell answers how often the displayed sample satisfied that threshold; changing the threshold changes the question.
Compare the same sample
Keep the sample/window consistent across thresholds and players. Check how much history is available. A perfect result in a small sample should not be treated as certainty.
Example: the same five games can produce a 100% rate at one low threshold, 60% at a higher one, and 20% at another. These describe those games, not three independent pieces of evidence for the next event.
Pair each threshold with its price
Read live odds where available and confirm the exact operator market. A higher hit rate at a lower line often comes with a lower payout. Decide whether the offered price is reasonable under your probability estimate rather than choosing the greenest cell.
Investigate an interesting cell
Open the available player detail or use Hit Rates to inspect the game log and role. Consider minutes, injuries, and matchup before applying the historical sample.
Troubleshooting
A missing cell or quote can mean insufficient history or no supported current market. It does not mean zero probability. Whole-number thresholds can involve pushes or different operator definitions; compare the exact market rules. Research availability differs by league, and a coming-soon league is not an empty version of the WNBA matrix.