To follow sharp bettors on Polymarket, find traders whose graded records hold up in a specific sport and bet type, watch what they buy, and compare the price you can get now with the price they paid. Every Polymarket account is a public wallet, so positions and settlements are on the record and can be checked rather than taken on trust. A sharp's position is information about a price, not an instruction to bet.
How it works
Why Polymarket activity is public
Polymarket is a prediction market: you trade against other people, and each outcome is priced between 1¢ and 99¢. The price is the market's implied probability, so 60¢ means 60%. Every account is a crypto wallet, and every position and settlement is recorded on-chain. At a sportsbook, other bettors' tickets are private. On Polymarket, you can see when a wallet buys, adds, trims or exits, at what price, and how each market settled.
How Unjuiced grades sharps
Sharp Intel observes sports betting activity from tracked bettors on Polymarket and grades their results against how markets settle. Because the history is public, Unjuiced grades each bettor's record itself rather than trusting screenshots. Sharps are backfilled and have to keep meeting Unjuiced's criteria.
- Record: wins and losses on settled markets.
- Lanes: a sharp's record by sport and bet type, such as NFL spreads. An overall record can hide very different results by market, and lane performance is weighted more heavily than the overall record.
- Sharp Score: a 1–100 ranking of observed backing on one selection, accounting for opposing support. It is not a win probability.
- Bet vs. usual: the stake relative to that sharp's usual stake for the sport and bet type.
Price against their entry
A sharp's edge was measured from the price they paid. Yours is measured from the price you get:
price move since entry = price now − sharp's entry
To compare a Polymarket price with a sportsbook, treat cents as a probability. For a favorite (above 50¢), American odds are −100 × p ÷ (1 − p).
A hypothetical example:
- A tracked sharp buys a side at 54¢: 54%, or about −117.
- Polymarket now prices it at 61¢: about −156. The price moved 7¢ since their entry.
- Your sportsbook has the same side, same line, at −125: 125 ÷ 225 = 55.6%.
At −125 you're paying 1.6 points more than the sharp did, and 5.4 less than Polymarket asks now. Neither comparison tells you whether it's a bet. Part of the move can be the sharp's own order eating the order book. Compare your price with a fair price instead: if a devigged sharp market puts the side at 57%, then −125 (1.80 in decimal odds) is an estimated 0.57 × 1.80 − 1 = +2.6% expected value. If the fair price is 55%, it's a pass.
How to follow sharps sensibly
By hand:
- Find wallets with long records in the sport and bet type you bet. A short hot streak is noise.
- Watch new entries, and tell them apart from adds, trims and exits on positions they already hold.
- Convert their entry with the Prediction Market converter.
- Shop the same side and line at your books, and compare with their entry, the current price and a no-vig fair price from the No-Vig calculator.
- Bet only if your price still makes sense, then record the price you got and check it against the close with CLV.
Doing this by hand means reading raw on-chain trades and grading every settlement yourself. Sharp Intel does the tracking:
- Picks lists each selection with its Sharp Score, the sharps behind it and the current price. Open one to see the backing sharps and their records, their stake against their usual, the entry price against the price now, and an opportunity assessment.
- Opportunity status says whether the current price still qualifies: Research means worth investigating, Qualified means the model, quote, execution and timing checks pass, Price moved means the economics no longer meet the entry requirements, and Split means conflicting evidence prevents a recommendation.
- Leaderboard and profiles let you filter by sport, market, sample size and bet timing, and compare a sharp's lanes, recent form, and live versus pregame play.
- Follow a sharp or a single lane, and get in-app or Discord alerts when they buy, add, trim or exit.
- Tracker records the price and stake you actually got. It never places a wager.
Sharp Intel is included with Syndicate. See the plan comparison and how to use Sharp Intel.
Mistakes to avoid
- Tailing at any price. The sharp's entry is a historical average. It is not a price you can still get.
- Reading the Sharp Score as a win chance. A selection can score 85 and still show Research: substantial observed backing, not an 85% chance.
- Trusting an overall record. Check the lane, and how many settled bets the record rests on.
- Treating every Feed event as a new bet. An add, trim or exit changes a position the sharp already holds. Tell it apart from a new entry.
- Ignoring the other side. Sharps can back both sides of a market. Check opposing support, and treat Split as a reason to wait.
- Betting a different line. Over 44.5 and Over 45.5 are not the same bet.
- Acting on a screenshot. Prices move. Reopen the selection and read its current status.
Questions
Can you see what sharp bettors are doing on Polymarket?
Yes. Every Polymarket account is a public crypto wallet, and every position and settlement is recorded on-chain, so anyone can see what a wallet bought, at what price, and how it settled.
How does Unjuiced decide who counts as a sharp?
Sharp Intel grades tracked Polymarket bettors against how their markets settle, backfills their history, and requires them to keep meeting its criteria. Records are shown as wins and losses, broken down by sport and bet type.
Should you copy every bet a sharp makes?
No. Compare the price you can get now with the sharp's entry and with a fair price, and skip the bet when the price has moved too far. A sharp's position is information, not an instruction.
Is a high Sharp Score a good bet?
Not by itself. The Sharp Score ranks observed backing from 1 to 100; it is not a win probability. A high score can still be labeled Research or Price moved, so read the opportunity status and current price too.
Which Unjuiced plan includes Sharp Intel?
Sharp Intel is included with Syndicate. Sharp Money, a separate tool that reads order books on Novig and ProphetX, has its full feed on Pro.