First Move: bet the old price before the books catch up
A new Pro tool. When a sharp book moves a price, First Move shows the play right away, with the books still paying the old price.
Posted by Unjuiced Team
First Move watches the sharp books. Pinnacle, and FanDuel on player props, tend to set the price, and when one of them moves, the other books usually follow, but not all at once. A play shows up the moment a sharp book moves and other books haven't, and it stays until they catch up.
Read a row
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EV is how much the price pays above our fair odds, per dollar bet.
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What moved is the sharp book that moved first, its old and new price, and the size of the move in points of implied probability.
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Where to bet is the book still paying the old price, with a suggested stake from your Kelly setting (a quarter Kelly by default), capped at 2.5% of your bankroll.
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Each play carries a label. Early is a small FanDuel prop move no other sharp book has confirmed yet, Standard is an unconfirmed move under 3 points, and Strong is confirmed by a second sharp book or 3+ points.
Open a play
Click a row for its side panel: a chart of the move with the edge still left, why the play is up in plain words, and the price at every book. The blue Bet button opens the book, right to the bet slip when the book supports it.
The Record
The Record tab grades each play's first alert against Pinnacle's closing price, with its margin taken out. It measures the price you got, not whether the bet won, and every figure shows its sample size. Grades update all day as games close.
First Move is on Pro, with Sharp Money and Parlay Builder. Eligible accounts get 7 days free.
Open First Move or read how to use it.